Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005128 0.005414 0.005709 0.006037 0.006391 0.006762 0.007181
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004619 0.005042 0.005499 0.006031 0.006636 0.007304 0.008104
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004271 0.004767 0.005318 0.005980 0.006761 0.007658 0.008777
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003969 0.004504 0.005113 0.005864 0.006774 0.007851 0.009242
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003734 0.004296 0.004949 0.005771 0.006792 0.008033 0.009685
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003587 0.004180 0.004881 0.005782 0.006926 0.008354 0.010309
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003348 0.003938 0.004645 0.005567 0.006758 0.008274 0.010397
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003247 0.003859 0.004603 0.005589 0.006888 0.008578 0.011008
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003217 0.003865 0.004665 0.005745 0.007197 0.009131 0.011992
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003091 0.003743 0.004557 0.005671 0.007191 0.009252 0.012370
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002998 0.003659 0.004493 0.005649 0.007252 0.009466 0.012891
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002900 0.003564 0.004411 0.005598 0.007268 0.009613 0.013316
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002861 0.003547 0.004432 0.005691 0.007494 0.010079 0.014273
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002787 0.003479 0.004383 0.005684 0.007576 0.010339 0.014926
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002703 0.003396 0.004308 0.005637 0.007595 0.010503 0.015433
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002603 0.003287 0.004195 0.005530 0.007519 0.010513 0.015682
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002516 0.003194 0.004100 0.005444 0.007469 0.010560 0.015995
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002467 0.003151 0.004073 0.005455 0.007565 0.010840 0.016726
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002351 0.003012 0.003907 0.005256 0.007329 0.010575 0.016475
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002313 0.002979 0.003890 0.005276 0.007434 0.010868 0.017247
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002315 0.003004 0.003954 0.005420 0.007740 0.011510 0.018715
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002252 0.002934 0.003881 0.005351 0.007702 0.011567 0.019081
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002206 0.002887 0.003840 0.005332 0.007741 0.011759 0.019721